The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Inspired by tensions between health and financial well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic, a new model could significantly improve predictions of how disease will spread by acknowledging the tradeoffs ...

Kalshi says it's more than just betting and that it offers high-quality forecasts. Now, a research paper from a group of Federal Reserve economists is backing that up. The researchers found that ...